Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.027648 0.032206 0.037226 0.043161 0.049977 0.057552 0.066602
2025-10-05 0.021738 0.027902 0.035318 0.044868 0.056807 0.071207 0.089855
2025-10-12 0.017529 0.024489 0.033529 0.046060 0.062900 0.084657 0.114793
2025-10-19 0.013669 0.020619 0.030290 0.044608 0.065118 0.093267 0.134610
2025-10-26 0.011130 0.017992 0.028147 0.044086 0.068244 0.103197 0.157219
2025-11-02 0.009014 0.015537 0.025755 0.042679 0.069682 0.110664 0.176975
2025-11-09 0.007453 0.013634 0.023841 0.041600 0.071293 0.118354 0.197714
2025-11-16 0.006399 0.012368 0.022712 0.041537 0.074380 0.128510 0.223245
2025-11-23 0.005384 0.010974 0.021124 0.040408 0.075444 0.135370 0.243990
2025-11-30 0.004950 0.010576 0.021222 0.042231 0.081779 0.151644 0.282194
2025-12-07 0.004360 0.009766 0.020422 0.042258 0.084824 0.162444 0.311867
2025-12-14 0.003715 0.008724 0.019009 0.040887 0.085039 0.168106 0.332760
2025-12-21 0.003238 0.007967 0.018077 0.040387 0.086957 0.177277 0.361451
2025-12-28 0.003065 0.007861 0.018488 0.042708 0.094785 0.198504 0.415281
2026-01-04 0.002842 0.007599 0.018520 0.044221 0.101127 0.217468 0.466590
2026-01-11 0.002456 0.006867 0.017387 0.043007 0.101532 0.224545 0.494785
2026-01-18 0.002175 0.006345 0.016657 0.042595 0.103610 0.235232 0.531385
2026-01-25 0.001881 0.005732 0.015608 0.041279 0.103474 0.241190 0.558566
2026-02-01 0.001643 0.005222 0.014735 0.040255 0.103868 0.248291 0.588834
2026-02-08 0.001481 0.004896 0.014280 0.040205 0.106550 0.260690 0.631885
2026-02-15 0.001295 0.004462 0.013468 0.039116 0.106554 0.266988 0.661761
2026-02-22 0.001240 0.004419 0.013722 0.040887 0.113922 0.291075 0.734746
2026-03-01 0.001127 0.004170 0.013355 0.040914 0.116822 0.304846 0.784785